STOCKPRIMARY PRODUCTION OF ALUMINUMUpdated 2026-07-26
Here’s whether Alcoa Corporation (AA) is worth buying in 2026 —
based on weekly-updated price trend, RSI momentum, and return vs.
the S&P 500. Our current read: Bearish.
🔴
Bearish
Positives: strong 1-year return of +38.9%. Concerns: trading below the 200-day MA (long-term downtrend); below the 50-day MA (medium-term momentum negative); 50-day MA is falling (-5.54% over 10 days); RSI 27 — oversold; 3-month momentum negative (-33.0%). Currently 47.6% off its 52-week high. Score: -5/7.
AA is trading below its 200-day MA ($55.89) — a key warning sign the longer-term trend is under pressure. An RSI of 26.9 has dropped into oversold territory, which has historically preceded short-term bounces. The 1-year return of +38.9% compares to +16.5% for SPY (beat the market by 22.4%). The current 47.6% drawdown from the 52-week high reflects elevated risk for momentum-based strategies.
$10,000 invested 1 year ago→ $13,886 today
vs. S&P 500 (SPY) — same period beat market by 22.4%
1-Year Price Chart
Daily candles
MA-50MA-200UpDown
Signal Check
✗Above 200-day MA ($55.89)
✗Above 50-day MA ($59.92)
!RSI(14) neutral zone (30–70) — currently 26.9
✓Positive return (+38.9%)
!Within 10% of period high (−47.6%)
Period Range $44.24
$28.11$84.38
RSI (14) 26.9
0 · OversoldOverbought · 100
Key Metrics
Price$44.24
Period Return+38.9%
Period High$84.38
Period Low$28.11
Drawdown−47.6%
MA-50$59.92
MA-200$55.89
RSI (14)26.9
Avg Volume (30d)6.6M
vs. SPYbeat by 22.4%
Return Rank#251 of 999
Trend Signals
Price is below the 200-day moving average ($55.89)