STOCKPRIMARY PRODUCTION OF ALUMINUMUpdated 2026-08-23
Here’s whether Alcoa Corporation (AA) is worth buying in 2026 —
based on weekly-updated price trend, RSI momentum, and return vs.
the S&P 500. Our current read: Caution.
🟡
Caution
Positives: above the 50-day MA (medium-term momentum positive); strong 1-year return of +75.7%. Concerns: trading below the 200-day MA (long-term downtrend); 50-day MA is falling (-8.80% over 10 days); 3-month momentum negative (-27.4%). Currently 38.5% off its 52-week high. Score: -2/7.
AA is trading below its 200-day MA ($57.01) — a key warning sign the longer-term trend is under pressure. An RSI of 66.1 sits in the neutral zone — momentum is neither stretched nor exhausted. The 1-year return of +75.7% compares to +20.5% for SPY (beat the market by 55.2%). The current 38.5% drawdown from the 52-week high reflects elevated risk for momentum-based strategies.
$10,000 invested 1 year ago→ $17,570 today
vs. S&P 500 (SPY) — same period beat market by 55.2%
1-Year Price Chart
Daily candles
MA-50MA-200UpDown
Signal Check
✗Above 200-day MA ($57.01)
✓Above 50-day MA ($50.74)
✓RSI(14) neutral zone (30–70) — currently 66.1
✓Positive return (+75.7%)
!Within 10% of period high (−38.5%)
Period Range $51.85
$28.92$84.38
RSI (14) 66.1
0 · OversoldOverbought · 100
Key Metrics
Price$51.85
Period Return+75.7%
Period High$84.38
Period Low$28.92
Drawdown−38.5%
MA-50$50.74
MA-200$57.01
RSI (14)66.1
Avg Volume (30d)5.4M
vs. SPYbeat by 55.2%
Return Rank#171 of 999
Trend Signals
Price is below the 200-day moving average ($57.01)