Here’s whether Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) is worth buying in 2026 —
based on weekly-updated price trend, RSI momentum, and return vs.
the S&P 500. Our current read: Bearish.
🔴
Bearish
Positives: RSI 38 — healthy momentum range; strong 1-year return of +16.5%. Concerns: trading below the 200-day MA (long-term downtrend); below the 50-day MA (medium-term momentum negative); 50-day MA is falling (-4.53% over 10 days); 3-month momentum negative (-19.2%). Currently 33.5% off its 52-week high. Score: -3/7.
DLTR is trading below its 200-day MA ($111.27) — a key warning sign the longer-term trend is under pressure. An RSI of 37.7 sits in the neutral zone — momentum is neither stretched nor exhausted. The 1-year return of +16.5% compares to +24.4% for SPY (trailed the market by 7.9%). The current 33.5% drawdown from the 52-week high reflects elevated risk for momentum-based strategies.
$10,000 invested 1 year ago→ $11,649 today
vs. S&P 500 (SPY) — same period trailed market by 7.9%
1-Year Price Chart
Daily candles
MA-50MA-200UpDown
Signal Check
✗Above 200-day MA ($111.27)
✗Above 50-day MA ($109.61)
✓RSI(14) neutral zone (30–70) — currently 37.7
✓Positive return (+16.5%)
!Within 10% of period high (−33.5%)
Period Range $94.67
$80.67$142.40
RSI (14) 37.7
0 · OversoldOverbought · 100
Key Metrics
Price$94.67
Period Return+16.5%
Period High$142.40
Period Low$80.67
Drawdown−33.5%
MA-50$109.61
MA-200$111.27
RSI (14)37.7
Avg Volume (30d)3.3M
vs. SPYtrailed by 12.6%
Return Rank#561 of 1245
Trend Signals
Price is below the 200-day moving average ($111.27)
Price is below the 50-day moving average ($109.61)