Here’s whether Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) is worth buying in 2026 —
based on weekly-updated price trend, RSI momentum, and return vs.
the S&P 500. Our current read: Bearish.
🔴
Bearish
Positives: RSI 48 — healthy momentum range; strong 1-year return of +44.7%. Concerns: trading below the 200-day MA (long-term downtrend); below the 50-day MA (medium-term momentum negative); 50-day MA is falling (-3.05% over 10 days); 3-month momentum negative (-24.3%). Currently 25.6% off its 52-week high. Score: -3/7.
DLTR is trading below its 200-day MA ($111.55) — a key warning sign the longer-term trend is under pressure. An RSI of 48.4 sits in the neutral zone — momentum is neither stretched nor exhausted. The 1-year return of +44.7% compares to +35.1% for SPY (beat the market by 9.6%). The current 25.6% drawdown from the 52-week high reflects elevated risk for momentum-based strategies.
$10,000 invested 1 year ago→ $14,469 today
vs. S&P 500 (SPY) — same period beat market by 9.6%
1-Year Price Chart
Daily candles
MA-50MA-200UpDown
Signal Check
✗Above 200-day MA ($111.55)
✗Above 50-day MA ($114.81)
✓RSI(14) neutral zone (30–70) — currently 48.4
✓Positive return (+44.7%)
!Within 10% of period high (−25.6%)
Period Range $105.93
$70.71$142.40
RSI (14) 48.4
0 · OversoldOverbought · 100
Key Metrics
Price$105.93
Period Return+44.7%
Period High$142.40
Period Low$70.71
Drawdown−25.6%
MA-50$114.81
MA-200$111.55
RSI (14)48.4
Avg Volume (30d)3.3M
vs. SPYbeat by 9.6%
Return Rank#399 of 996
Trend Signals
Price is below the 200-day moving average ($111.55)
Price is below the 50-day moving average ($114.81)