Is FLY Worth Buying in 2026?

Firefly Aerospace Inc. Common Stock

STOCK GUIDED MISSILES & SPACE VEHICLES & PARTS Updated 2026-07-26

Here’s whether Firefly Aerospace Inc. Common Stock (FLY) is worth buying in 2026 — based on weekly-updated price trend, RSI momentum, and return vs. the S&P 500. Our current read: Bearish.

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Bearish

Concerns: trading below the 200-day MA (long-term downtrend); below the 50-day MA (medium-term momentum negative); 50-day MA is falling (-8.19% over 10 days); RSI 20 — oversold; 3-month momentum negative (-44.0%). Currently 73.3% off its 52-week high. Score: -6/7.

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FLY is trading below its 200-day MA ($27.83) — a key warning sign the longer-term trend is under pressure. An RSI of 20.0 has dropped into oversold territory, which has historically preceded short-term bounces. With ~12 months of trading history, the return since first available bar is -67.4%. The current 73.3% drawdown from the 52-week high reflects elevated risk for momentum-based strategies.

$10,000 invested 12 months ago → $3,263 today

1-Year Price Chart

Daily candles
MA-50 MA-200 Up Down

Signal Check

Above 100-day MA ($31.95)
Above 25-day MA ($24.45)
!RSI(10) neutral zone (30–70) — currently 26.8
Positive return (-32.4%)
!Within 10% of period high (−68.3%)
Period Range $19.69
$18.03 $62.17
RSI (10) 26.8
0 · OversoldOverbought · 100

Key Metrics

Price$19.69
Period Return-32.4%
Period High$62.17
Period Low$18.03
Drawdown−68.3%
MA-25$24.45
MA-100$31.95
RSI (10)26.8
Avg Volume (30d)5.7M
vs. SPYtrailed by 39.6%

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