Is GEO Worth Buying in 2026?

The GEO Group, Inc.

STOCK GENERAL BLDG CONTRACTORS - RESIDENTIAL BLDGS Updated 2026-04-19

Here’s whether The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) is worth buying in 2026 — based on weekly-updated price trend, RSI momentum, and return vs. the S&P 500. Our current read: Neutral.

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Neutral

Positives: trading above the 200-day MA (long-term uptrend intact); above the 50-day MA (medium-term momentum positive); 50-day MA is rising (+1.61% over 10 days); 3-month momentum positive (+5.7%). Concerns: weak 1-year return of -36.0%; declining volume on rally — weak conviction (0.65x 30d avg). Currently 42.0% off its 52-week high. Score: +3/7.

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GEO is in a confirmed uptrend, trading above both its 50-day ($15.91) and 200-day ($18.44) moving averages. An RSI of 66.8 sits in the neutral zone — momentum is neither stretched nor exhausted. The 1-year return of -36.0% compares to +35.1% for SPY (trailed the market by 71.1%). The current 42.0% drawdown from the 52-week high reflects elevated risk for momentum-based strategies.

$10,000 invested 1 year ago → $6,398 today
vs. S&P 500 (SPY) — same period trailed market by 71.1%

1-Year Price Chart

Daily candles
MA-50 MA-200 Up Down

Signal Check

Above 200-day MA ($18.44)
Above 50-day MA ($15.91)
RSI(14) neutral zone (30–70) — currently 66.8
Positive return (-36.0%)
!Within 10% of period high (−42.0%)
Period Range $18.60
$12.51 $32.09
RSI (14) 66.8
0 · OversoldOverbought · 100

Key Metrics

Price$18.60
Period Return-36.0%
Period High$32.09
Period Low$12.51
Drawdown−42.0%
MA-50$15.91
MA-200$18.44
RSI (14)66.8
Avg Volume (30d)2.4M
vs. SPYtrailed by 71.1%
Return Rank#877 of 996

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