Is HOG Worth Buying in 2026?

Harley-Davidson, Inc.

STOCK MOTORCYCLES, BICYCLES & PARTS Updated 2026-04-19

Here’s whether Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) is worth buying in 2026 — based on weekly-updated price trend, RSI momentum, and return vs. the S&P 500. Our current read: Caution.

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Caution

Positives: above the 50-day MA (medium-term momentum positive); 50-day MA is rising (+2.42% over 10 days); 3-month momentum positive (+14.6%). Concerns: trading below the 200-day MA (long-term downtrend); RSI 86 — overbought, elevated pullback risk. Currently 24.8% off its 52-week high. Score: +0/7.

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HOG is trading below its 200-day MA ($23.63) — a key warning sign the longer-term trend is under pressure. With an RSI of 86.3, momentum has stretched into overbought territory — short-term pullbacks are common from these levels. The 1-year return of +7.5% compares to +35.1% for SPY (trailed the market by 27.6%). The current 24.8% drawdown from the 52-week high reflects elevated risk for momentum-based strategies.

$10,000 invested 1 year ago → $10,751 today
vs. S&P 500 (SPY) — same period trailed market by 27.6%

1-Year Price Chart

Daily candles
MA-50 MA-200 Up Down

Signal Check

Above 200-day MA ($23.63)
Above 50-day MA ($19.79)
!RSI(14) neutral zone (30–70) — currently 86.3
Positive return (+7.5%)
!Within 10% of period high (−24.8%)
Period Range $23.49
$17.09 $31.25
RSI (14) 86.3
0 · OversoldOverbought · 100

Key Metrics

Price$23.49
Period Return+7.5%
Period High$31.25
Period Low$17.09
Drawdown−24.8%
MA-50$19.79
MA-200$23.63
RSI (14)86.3
Avg Volume (30d)3.6M
vs. SPYtrailed by 27.6%
Return Rank#638 of 996

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