Here’s whether Microsoft Corp (MSFT) is worth buying in 2026 —
based on weekly-updated price trend, RSI momentum, and return vs.
the S&P 500. Our current read: Bearish.
🔴
Bearish
Positives: RSI 47 — healthy momentum range. Concerns: trading below the 200-day MA (long-term downtrend); below the 50-day MA (medium-term momentum negative); 50-day MA is falling (-1.10% over 10 days); weak 1-year return of -25.3%; 3-month momentum negative (-10.1%). Currently 31.3% off its 52-week high. Score: -5/7.
MSFT is trading below its 200-day MA ($436.12) — a key warning sign the longer-term trend is under pressure. An RSI of 46.6 sits in the neutral zone — momentum is neither stretched nor exhausted. The 1-year return of -25.3% compares to +16.5% for SPY (trailed the market by 41.8%). The current 31.3% drawdown from the 52-week high reflects elevated risk for momentum-based strategies.
$10,000 invested 1 year ago→ $7,471 today
vs. S&P 500 (SPY) — same period trailed market by 41.8%
1-Year Price Chart
Daily candles
MA-50MA-200UpDown
Signal Check
✗Above 200-day MA ($436.12)
✗Above 50-day MA ($399.18)
✓RSI(14) neutral zone (30–70) — currently 46.6
✗Positive return (-25.3%)
!Within 10% of period high (−31.3%)
Period Range $381.70
$349.20$555.45
RSI (14) 46.6
0 · OversoldOverbought · 100
Key Metrics
Price$381.70
Period Return-25.3%
Period High$555.45
Period Low$349.20
Drawdown−31.3%
MA-50$399.18
MA-200$436.12
RSI (14)46.6
Avg Volume (30d)42.1M
vs. SPYtrailed by 41.8%
Return Rank#730 of 999
Trend Signals
Price is below the 200-day moving average ($436.12)
Price is below the 50-day moving average ($399.18)